Norway is urging Russia to establish a direct military hotline as tensions in the Arctic grow, warning that miscalculations in the High North could trigger escalation even as limited cooperation between the two sides continues.
Norway’s Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces, Gen Eirik Kristoffersen, said a direct line between Oslo and Moscow would help manage incidents and avoid conflict driven by misunderstanding. “He recommended creating a military hotline between the two capitals to have a channel of communication and avoid escalation based on misunderstandings,” the official was quoted as saying by The Guardian.
Kristoffersen said Norway and Russia still communicate on practical matters such as search and rescue operations in the Barents Sea and hold regular border-level military meetings. He described Russian responses in these contacts as restrained. “When we talk to the Russians, they actually respond in a very professional and predictable way,” he said, adding that most airspace violations in the region have so far been linked to errors rather than intent.
Norway Warns Of Possible Russian Land Grab If Nuclear Deterrent Is Threatened
Despite this, Kristoffersen said Oslo cannot dismiss the risk of Russian military action against Norwegian territory if Moscow believes its nuclear deterrent is under threat. “We don’t exclude a land grab from Russia as part of their plan to protect their own nuclear capabilities, which is the only thing they have left that actually threatens the United States,” he said.
He stressed that Russia does not seek to occupy Norway in the way it has acted in Ukraine or other former Soviet territories, but pointed to the strategic weight of the Kola Peninsula, where much of Russia’s nuclear arsenal is based. Nuclear submarines, land-based missiles and nuclear-capable aircraft stationed there would be critical in any broader conflict with NATO. “We don’t take that off the table, because it’s still an option for Russia to do that in order to make sure that their nuclear capabilities, their second strike capabilities, are protected,” Kristoffersen said.
The Norwegian defense chief said Russian conduct in the Arctic has been less confrontational than in the Baltic Sea and confirmed that Moscow is currently respecting the 1920 Svalbard Treaty, which prohibits militarization of the archipelago. He rejected Russian accusations that Norway is quietly militarizing Svalbard, calling them propaganda claims.
U.K. to Boost Troops in Norway as NATO Expands Arctic Posture, Steps Up Exercises
The official’s warning comes as NATO steps up its posture in the High North. The U.K. plans to double the number of British troops stationed in Norway to about 2,000 over the next three years, while allied forces prepare major Arctic exercises (The Arctic Sentry in February, Exercise Cold Response in March and U.K.-led Lion Protector in September). London and Oslo have also expanded naval cooperation to monitor submarine activity amid concerns over undersea cables and pipelines.
Russia has repeatedly criticized NATO’s expanding presence near its borders, while saying it remains open to dialogue on security issues if talks are conducted on equal terms.